Senior Forecasting and Modelling Analyst

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Senior Forecasting and Modelling Analyst

Location : Guelph, ON, CA, N1G 2W1

Primary Category Page : Staff and Management

Division : Institutional Research and Planning

Requisition ID : 2095

Department : Office of the AVP Institutional Research and Planning

This position is represented by the agreement between the Professional Staff Association and the University of Guelph

If you are a current employee of the University of Guelph you must apply on the internal Career Page in order to be considered as an internal applicant.

General Purpose

The Senior Forecasting & Modelling Analyst is a high-impact role within the Forecasting & Revenue Planning team, providing advanced analytical leadership that informs decisions on tuition, enrollment, and government funding. Reporting to the Director, this position requires significant autonomy, exceptional analytical judgement, and the maturity to operate within a politically sensitive environment. The incumbent regularly informs strategy, frames complex analyses with nuance, and communicates results diplomatically at the senior management level.

As a trusted advisor to central and distributed academic leaders, the Analyst develops and maintains advanced forecasting models, evaluates institutional and unit-level performance, and translates complex data into clear, defensible recommendations. The role also leads the tracking, reconciliation, and accountability reporting of all ministry funding streams.

You will be joining a strategic function at the heart of institutional planning—where your analyses, recommendations, and models will directly shape academic strategy, financial sustainability, and student outcomes. This role offers the opportunity to influence decisions at the highest levels, tackle complex and meaningful challenges, and help build a more transparent and data-informed institution.

Duties and Responsibilities

Advanced Financial and Institutional Modelling and Analysis

• Tuition and enrollment forecasting for a portfolio of colleges, advising academic and financial leaders on program mix, pricing, revenue risk, and enrollment strategy.
• Tailored, time-sensitive analyses and training to stakeholders; interpret enrollment and revenue trends to support unit- and institution-level decisions.
• Tracking and reconciliation of Operating Grants and Transfer Payment Agreements; assess and communicate impacts of government policy and funding changes.
• Develop and refine predictive models for tuition, enrollment, and ministry revenue; conduct scenario and sensitivity analyses for strategic planning.
• Produce concise, executive-ready analysis and recommendations.
• Create and maintain tools and dashboards supporting transparent, accurate revenue forecasting.
• Implement standardized processes for ministry revenue tracking and reconciliation; collaborate with IT, Institutional Research, and Finance to enhance data quality and system integration.

What Makes This Role Distinct

Requirements

Education

Experience & Skills

Employee Type : Regular

Position Number : 10925075

Classification : P&M FT- Band 07

Professional / Managerial Salary Bands

The target hiring salary for this position is minimum and up to 96% of midpoint for the salary grade.

At the University of Guelph, fostering a culture of inclusion is an institutional imperative. The University invites and encourages applications from all qualified individuals, including from groups that are traditionally underrepresented in employment, who may contribute to further diversification of our Institution.

Posting Date : 01 / 23 / 2026

Closing Date : 02 / 06 / 2026

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